你认同吗?孔蒂说法鹰防守好,目前其欧冠失球第三多、德甲失球第二多(你怎么看:孔蒂称法鹰防守出色,球队却欧冠失球第3、德甲失球第2)
栏目:kaiyun 发布时间:2026-01-14

Evaluating Frankfurt's Defense

li

Conte noted that Frankfurt defends well, but the user highlights their stats: third most goals conceded in UCL and second in Bundesliga. Without external data, I have to treat these as given. I think raw goals conceded can be misleading, especially in small sample sizes. Factors like defensive structure, individual errors, injuries, and game contexts matter. In the 22/23 season, Frankfurt had a solid defense, conceding 52 in Bundesliga—not second most—and just 8 in the UCL group stage. So, it's complex.Explaining Frankfurt's Defense

I see the user's claim about Frankfurt's defense, but let's respond conceptually. It’s possible for both to be true. Here are some points to consider:

  • I don't fully agree that "good defense" simply means "less goals conceded." Defensive quality can be measured better through factors like xG per shot and successful pressing rates.

  • Potential contradictions arise from:

    furt

    • Opponent quality in the UCL
    • Game scripts that may lead to conceding late goals
    • Higher set-piece goals
  • To assess “good defense”, I’d look at shots allowed, xGA, and other defensive metrics.

  • If we only consider goals allowed, it doesn’t reflect true defensive strength. If you have specific data, I can help analyze further!

    like

不完全认同,用“失球数”直接否定“防守好”也不严谨。

  • 丢球多 ≠ 防守结构差:失球受样本小、赛程强度、比赛脚本(落后后拉开打)、门将状态和个别低级失误影响很大。
  • 教练说“防守好”多指结构与纪律:阵型收缩、半空间保护、对禁区的压缩与回追速度,这些不一定马上体现在失球数上。
  • 可能造成“防守好但丢球多”的原因:强对手和客场密集赛程;定位球/点球占比高;终结端对手超常发挥;球队战术取舍(更重转换,给对手更多高质量机会)。
  • 更合理的评估指标:对手禁区内射门数、xGA/90、xG/shot、反抢成功率与PPDA、定位球失球率、领先/落后时的防守数据分裂。

结论:仅凭“欧冠失球第三多、德甲失球第二多”很难推翻“防守做得好”的判断;但如果这些失球伴随高xGA和大量禁区内被射,那就说明结构也在出问题。给我明确赛季/阶段,我可以按xGA、PPDA和定位球占比做一次更硬的数据对照。